Global InfoAnalytics, an independent research firm, has reaffirmed its history of accurately forecasting election results in Ghana amidst scrutiny over a recent poll by the opposition New Patriotic Party (NPP).
In a rebuttal to assertions made by Dennis Miracles Aboagye, the NPP’s 2024 campaign Communications Director, regarding the recent Global InfoAnalytics poll’s alleged disconnect from ground realities, the polling firm cited its track record of successful predictions in previous elections.
At a news conference on Tuesday, April 9, Miracles Aboagye stated that the poll result from Global InfoAnalytics putting former President John Mahama ahead of Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is not a true reflection of the reality on the ground.
“Global InfoAnalytics has been carrying out polls since 2019 and has the track record of successfully predicting elections outcomes with precision,” the firm stated in part of its response to Miracles Aboagye.
It cited how in the 2020 general election, its final pre-election poll projected that incumbent Nana Akufo-Addo would secure 50.4% of the vote, plus or minus 1.9% margin of error. Nana Akufo-Addo went on to win with 51.3% of the vote.
Global InfoAnalytics also noted how in the 2023 NPP primaries, it correctly predicted Dr Mahamudu Bawumia would win with 58.4%, plus or minus 1.9% margin of error. Official results showed Dr Bawumia secured 61.3% of the vote.
“Readers should be reminded that according to Dennis Miracles Aboagye, their internal poll had pointed to between 75% to 85% win for Dr Mahamudu Bawumia and that any poll carried out by any organisation that does not put Dr Bawumia above 75% was not credible,” the firm stated.
Global InfoAnalytics stressed that its polls have consistently reflected realities on the ground in Ghana based on economic and political trends.
The firm invited its critics to scrutinize its methodology rather than make baseless claims.
It said it would continue updating Ghanaian voters and stakeholders based on rigorous survey data.
